Wednesday, March 24, 2021

Vaccines for Filipinos Enough to get Herd Immunity?

The Philippine government wants to achieve herd immunity by the end of 2021 by ordering at least 148 million doses of vaccines from various pharmaceutical companies.  To achieve herd immunity, at least 70 percent of the population should be vaccinated against COVID-19.



According to Carlito Galvez Jr., the country's vaccine czar,  the bulk of deliveries will start on April.  The government can now start massive vaccination on the 2nd quarter of the year, assuming that there will be no more hurdles in the procurement, delivery, and supply. During this period, they expect that all frontliners and those in the priority list already received their first shot of the vaccine. The supply will come from  Sinovac (China), AstraZeneca, Novavax, Moderna,  Johnson and Johnson (Janssen Pharmaceutical), and the Gamaleya Research Institute (Russia). 

Here's the breakdown of the number of vaccines that were delivered (Q1) and additional vaccine doses for the succeeding quarters:

There will be at least 3,504,800 doses for the 1st quarter.

February 28 - 600,000 Sinovac doses donated by China 
March 4 - 487,200 AstraZeneca doses from COVAX
March 7 - 38,400 AstraZeneca doses from COVAX
March 24 - 400,000 Sinovac doses donated by China 
March 24 to 26 - 979,200 AstraZeneca doses from COVAX
March 29 - 1 million Sinovac doses purchased by government 

At least 26,294,000 doses of vaccines are expected to arrive on the 2nd quarter of the year.

April 2021
Sinovac - 1.5 to 2 million doses 
Gamaleya’s Sputnik V - 3 million doses
COVAX vaccines - 1 million doses

May 2021 
Sinovac - 2 million doses
Gamaleya - 3 million doses
AstraZeneca -2.6 million doses
COVAX vaccines - 1 million doses
Moderna - 194,000 doses

June 2021  
Sinovac -4.5 million doses
Gamaleya - 4 million doses
Novavax - 1 million doses
AstraZeneca - 2 million doses 

A total of 53.5 million doses of vaccines will arrive in the country on the 3rd Quarter.

July 2021
Sinovac - 3 million doses 
Gamaleya - 4 million doses 
Moderna - 1 million doses 
Novavax - 2 million doses 
J&J - 1.5 million doses 
AstraZeneca - 2 million doses 

August 2021
20 million doses 

September 2021
20 million doses 


For the 4th quarter, the government will received at least 60 million doses. No breakdown yet on the sources of these vaccines.

October 2021
20 million doses 

November 2021
20 million doses 

December 2021
20 million doses 


The Philippines is way behind its Asian neighbors when it comes to the number of people who already got their first vaccine dose. Skeptics are now saying that the government will not be able to achieve herd immunity because of the delays in the procurement of the government. #NasaanangBakuna even became a trending topic in popular social media sites.